Donald Trump thinks he was pretty clever shifting the Russia focus to Barack Obama. He wasn't
Donald Trump and Barack Obama enjoy a light-hearted exchange with journalists in the White House in December: Getty
For
 a White House that so disdains the media, it sure spends a lot of time 
obsessing about it. After the giant sigh of relief that met President 
Donald Trump’s speech to Congress a week ago, the unveiling of a 
pared-back Muslim-majority country travel ban was put back to allow the 
glow to linger a little longer. But that went out the window twenty four
 hours later with the revelations that Attorney General Jeff Sessions 
had lied about meeting with the Russian ambassador.
Rendered
 apoplectic, not least by Mr Sessions’ decision (cowardly, in his view) 
to recuse himself from all further investigation into alleged Russian 
meddling in last year’s election, Mr Trump then found a way to change 
that conversation again by making the explosive claim in a series of 
Tweets on Saturday morning that his predecessor, Barack Obama, had 
ordered the wiretapping of Trump Tower in October without offering any 
evidence to support it.
Come
 Monday, unveiling the revised travel ban seemed suddenly, if not to 
Trump himself, then certainly to his frazzled aides, like a good idea 
again. Trump was kept off the airwaves, as three grey-haired cabinet 
members, led by Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, soberly presented a 
new executive order that removed Iraq from the list of affected 
countries and had otherwise been tweaked in hopes the courts wouldn’t 
blow it up again.
This
 is the pinball reality of Washington nowadays – multiple metal balls 
ricocheting in all directions, unleashed by an intemperate and gleeful 
player-in-chief, all accompanied by a non-stop cacophony of bells, 
klaxons and flashing lights. No one can hope to keep up and no one can 
tell yet if the score he is piling up in spinning neon digits is 
impressively high or disastrously low. But to Trump, all that matters 
for the moment is the racket and the motion.
His Towergate
 play on Saturday was especially diabolical, one more masterstroke of 
distraction to add to a long list of them. Like the time he said 
millions had voted illegally when he was forced to confront the fact 
that he had lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by a mile. Or the 
time he claimed record crowds for his inauguration when the rest of us 
were looking at photographs of empty fields.
But
 this was especially wanton. Such an assertion demanded some crumb of 
proof. He surely knew no president – even he – has the legal authority 
to order secret surveillance of a political rival. It would require a 
green light from a judge or a court. That, moreover, would only be given
 if credible evidence were already present to suggest that indeed the 
Trump campaign had colluded with a foreign power to subvert the 
election. Is that where Trump wants this to go?
So
 there we are then. This time Trump really blew it. His most trusted 
officials have been unable to contend that their boss had the faintest 
idea what he was talking about when he made those Tweets, which included
 the description of Mr Obama as “bad” and “sick”. Most extraordinary 
were reports that James Comey, the FBI director, had asked the Justice 
Department publicly to repudiate them as pure nonsense. Less than six 
weeks into his first term, the law-and-order President has triggered 
mutiny from the very top of his most important law-and-order agency.
Yet,
 we can barely count the times we have declared with great certitude 
that Trump had finally crossed a line only to find it had been drawn in 
disappearing ink. That Access Hollywood tape about Trump’s boasting of sexual predation was the death of his campaign until it wasn’t.
So,
 we must pull ourselves in check. Trump doesn’t ignore the rules just 
because he likes to or even just because he knows his supporters want 
him to. Nor is it just that he knows he won’t get punished for doing it,
 at least not any time soon. His reasons for breaking the rules are 
often more complicated and more devious. With this tirade, for instance,
 he didn’t just change the subject, he scrambled it, a trick completed 
when the White House asked Congress
 at the weekend to include consideration of the Obama administration 
breaking anti-snooping rules, including possible wire-tapping of Trump 
Tower, in its incoming investigations into possible Trump-Russia ties. 
Plenty of Republicans have already said they will go along.
Thus
 several things have happened. Now when the subject comes up of Russia 
and Trump, the default response of Trump’s supporters, at least, will be
 be, “Ah, but look at how much worse Obama was”. It’s like the school 
bully responding to being told off for some random act of violence by 
concocting something much worse about someone else in the playground. In
 the meantime, any White House official who is asked to offer 
substantiation for this Saturday morning’s Tweets can now shrug and say 
it is a matter for Congress to sort out.
Clearly
 Trump reacts to things on impulse, often with the help of Twitter. The 
Sessions affair was the last straw. For days, he had been fuming about 
endless leaks meant to harm him and the media’s appetite for them. On 
Saturday he let off steam, and the immediate fall-out may actually have 
been positive for him. Indeed, by all accounts, he remains quite 
unrepentant about them.
But
 wait. Trump may not have been as clever as he thinks. Having your FBI 
chief give you a public spanking is not clever. Giving Congress reason 
to expand, not narrow, its probes into your possible collusions with 
Russia during and after last year’s election is not clever. And if you 
have any desire to broaden your support and rescue your approval 
ratings, calling your popular predecessor a crook is definitely not 
clever. Even the Kremlin on Monday was desperately trying to distance 
itself from the whole mess that the topic has become in Washington.
He
 may not see any of this yet, but he will eventually. This will seem 
like wishful thinking to some, but the day will come when Trump’s magic 
bottle of disappearing ink runs empty.
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